Yale
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 96.8251Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 6-12 217 H Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 15- 9 221 H Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 16-11 228 A Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 7-17 307 A Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 15-14 314 H Princeton Ivy (13- 2, 99.4) 10-11 321 H Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.5) 7- 9 328 A Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4) 13-12 404 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 18- 7 411 H Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.7) 15- 9 414 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 16- 9 418 H Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 15- 2 425 A Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 14-13 501 N Princeton Ivy (13- 2, 99.4) 10-12 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Army West Point 6-12 -6 -3 - -3.41
217 H Marist 15- 9 6 7 -1.00
221 H Boston University 16-11 5 4 1.48
228 A Penn State 7-17 -10 -4 - -3.22
307 A Fairfield 15-14 1 5 -- -4.11
314 H Princeton 10-11 -1 -1 0.22
321 H Penn 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.65
328 A Cornell 13-12 1 -3 + 3.96
404 A Dartmouth 18- 7 11 2 ++ 4.70
411 H Harvard 15- 9 6 2 ++ 4.46
414 A Hofstra 16- 9 7 6 0.78
418 H Albany 15- 2 13 5 1.84
425 A Brown 14-13 1 2 -1.27
501 N Princeton 10-12 o -2 -3 0.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Fairfield 15-14 1 5 -- -4.11 321 H Penn 7- 9 -2 3 -- -4.65 214 A Army West Point 6-12 -6 -3 - -3.41 228 A Penn State 7-17 -10 -4 - -3.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Dartmouth 18- 7 11 2 ++ 4.70 411 H Harvard 15- 9 6 2 ++ 4.46 328 A Cornell 13-12 1 -3 + 3.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 6-12 -1.86 18.74 1.38 1.02 -0.25
3 H Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 15- 9 -9.08 11.52 -1.38 1.02 20.73
3 H Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 16-11 -5.22 15.38 -1.38 1.02 28.63
3 A Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 7-17 -0.67 19.93 1.38 1.02 -0.36
3 A Fairfield ( 4-10, 90.3) 15-14 -9.56 11.04 1.38 1.02 25.37
3 H Princeton (13- 2, 99.4) 10-11 -0.48 20.12 -1.38 1.02 -0.95
3 H Penn ( 7- 6, 95.5) 7- 9 -4.35 16.25 -1.38 1.02 -2.93
3 A Cornell (11- 4, 98.4) 13-12 -1.48 19.11 1.38 1.02 41.89
3 A Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 18- 7 -6.75 13.85 1.38 1.02 31.13
3 H Harvard ( 9- 5, 96.7) 15- 9 -3.24 17.35 -1.38 1.02 32.67
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 16- 9 -10.67 9.92 1.38 1.02 23.10
3 H Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 15- 2 -6.86 13.74 -1.38 1.02 25.27
3 A Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 14-13 -6.72 13.88 1.38 1.02 31.19
3 N Princeton (13- 2, 99.4) 10-12 -0.48 20.12 -0.00 1.02 -0.24
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255.27
|
winning pts = 259.9955 losing points = -4.7274
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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