Yale
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 95.9383Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Army (11- 3, 96.9) 6-12 217 H Marist ( 9- 4, 89.2) 15- 9 221 H Boston Univ ( 8- 5, 94.2) 16-11 228 A Penn St ( 7- 5, 98.2) 7-17 307 A Fairfield ( 4-10, 89.6) 15-14 314 H Princeton (11- 2, 98.3) 10-11 321 H Pennsylvania ( 7- 6, 94.9) 7- 9 328 A Cornell (10- 3, 97.9) 13-12 404 A Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 92.4) 18- 7 411 H Harvard ( 9- 4, 96.3) 15- 9 414 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 88.5) 16- 9 418 H Albany ( 9- 5, 92.1) 15- 2 425 A Brown ( 6- 7, 92.5) 14-13 501 N Princeton (11- 2, 98.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Army 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.72
217 H Marist 15- 9 6 8 -1.00
221 H Boston Univ 16-11 5 3 1.94
228 A Penn St 7-17 -10 -4 - -3.37
307 A Fairfield 15-14 1 5 -- -4.05
314 H Princeton 10-11 -1 -1 0.03
321 H Pennsylvania 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.40
328 A Cornell 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.27
404 A Dartmouth 18- 7 11 2 ++ 4.79
411 H Harvard 15- 9 6 1 ++ 5.03
414 A Hofstra 16- 9 7 6 0.86
418 H Albany 15- 2 13 5 1.83
425 A Brown 14-13 1 2 -1.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Fairfield 15-14 1 5 -- -4.05 321 H Pennsylvania 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.40 214 A Army 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.72 228 A Penn St 7-17 -10 -4 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Cornell 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.27 404 A Dartmouth 18- 7 11 2 ++ 4.79 411 H Harvard 15- 9 6 1 ++ 5.03 |
Yale Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Albany | Yale | Yale | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Bellarmine | Yale | Yale | ||
| Binghamton | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Boston Univ | Yale | Yale | ||
| Brown | Yale | Yale | ||
| Bryant | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bucknell | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Yale | |
| Canisius | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Cleveland St | Yale | Yale | ||
| Colgate | Yale | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Yale | |
| Cornell | Yale | Yale | ||
| Dartmouth | Yale | Yale | ||
| Delaware | Yale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Denver | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Detroit | Yale | Yale | ||
| Drexel | Yale | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Yale | |
| Duke | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Fairfield | Yale | Yale | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Georgetown | |
| Hampton | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Harvard | Yale | Yale | ||
| High Point | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Hobart | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hofstra | Yale | Yale | ||
| Holy Cross | Yale | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Yale | |
| Iona | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | Yale | Yale | ||
| JHU | JHU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | JHU | |
| Lafayette | Yale | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Yale | |
| Le Moyne | Yale | Yale | ||
| Lehigh | Yale | Yale 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| LIU | Yale | Yale | ||
| Loyola | Yale | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Yale | |
| Manhattan | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marist | Yale | Yale | ||
| Marquette | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Maryland | Maryland | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Maryland | |
| UMass | Yale | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Yale | |
| UMassLowell | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mercer | Yale | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Yale | |
| Mercyhurst | Yale | Yale | ||
| Merrimack | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Michigan | Yale | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Yale | |
| Monmouth | Yale | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Yale | |
| Mt St Marys | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Navy | Yale | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Yale | |
| NJIT | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| No Carolina | No Carolina | No Carolina 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Yale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Providence | Yale | Yale 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Queens | Yale | Yale | ||
| Quinnipiac | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Richmond | Richmond | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Richmond | |
| Rob Morris | Yale | Yale | ||
| Rutgers | Yale | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Yale | |
| Sacred Heart | Yale | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Yale | |
| Siena | Yale | Yale 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| St Bonnies | Yale | Yale | ||
| St Johns | Yale | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Yale | |
| St Josephs | Yale | Yale | ||
| Stony Brook | Yale | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Yale | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Syracuse | |
| Towson | Yale | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Yale | |
| UMBC | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Utah | Yale | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Vermont | Yale | Yale 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Villanova | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Yale | |
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| VMI | Yale | Yale | ||
| Wagner | Yale | Yale |
PowerWise = 63
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
14 A Army (11- 3, 96.9) 6-12 -3.00 18.29 1.32 1.03 -0.86
18 H Marist ( 9- 4, 89.2) 15- 9 -10.71 10.58 -1.32 1.03 19.09
22 H Boston Univ ( 8- 5, 94.2) 16-11 -5.70 15.59 -1.32 1.03 29.43
22 A Penn St ( 7- 5, 98.2) 7-17 -1.66 19.63 1.32 1.03 -0.17
22 A Fairfield ( 4-10, 89.6) 15-14 -10.33 10.96 1.32 1.03 25.33
7 H Princeton (11- 2, 98.3) 10-11 -1.61 19.68 -1.32 1.03 -1.51
4 H Pennsylvania ( 7- 6, 94.9) 7- 9 -5.04 16.25 -1.32 1.03 -3.28
25 A Cornell (10- 3, 97.9) 13-12 -2.01 19.28 1.32 1.03 42.47
10 A Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 92.4) 18- 7 -7.49 13.80 1.32 1.03 31.18
4 H Harvard ( 9- 4, 96.3) 15- 9 -3.61 17.68 -1.32 1.03 33.74
13 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 88.5) 16- 9 -11.42 9.87 1.32 1.03 23.07
17 H Albany ( 9- 5, 92.1) 15- 2 -7.81 13.48 -1.32 1.03 25.08
14 A Brown ( 6- 7, 92.5) 14-13 -7.44 13.85 1.32 1.03 31.28
------
254.84
|
winning pts = 260.6664 losing points = -5.8283
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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